28 September 2018
How will the new billion of users affect the development of the Internet?
Who are they?
These are people who today rarely see computers. Their first contact with the network will be via a mobile phone. Most likely, the first thing that they are waiting for are popular messengers, where they will establish relations with their groups and working groups. When these people understand that they can communicate with each other through the network, technological barriers will be lifted. An example is India's current labor market, where 287 million people are not able to read and write (this is 37% of the number of illiterates all over the world). And almost all of them are mobile Internet users.
How does the network react?
It becomes more simple. In 2020, according to dev.Google, 10% of the world's users will use 2G. The network will prioritize content and simple navigation. It will develop cross-solution solutions. They make new payment systems, because at least 8% of new people will not have a bank account and a credit card. They create resources for quick localization of everything (only 5.5% will know English at least somehow).
What happens next?
The whole landscape of services will change - modern applications and sites are strong with their accumulated base, and the influx of new people with a thirst for simple interfaces can turn everything around. We learn about a lot of new things that will take from nowhere in a few months.
The network will again become easy - a minimum of content, so that these people can use it from the phone on poor tariff plans. Megabyte will again be a sea of information, not the third picture of the profile. According to Opera, the previous audience installs 18 new applications on the phone, and 6 of them use almost constantly. This is a replacement sites. The main segments are communication, payment, health, training.
They will have access to objective information and will be able to learn faster. Today, numerically the most qualified engineers live in China. After a generation, a few more countries with the same training of specialists will appear.
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